The Premier League is on course to break the £9 billion mark for broadcast income from its next three-year TV deal, a record high, but there are signs the value of rights may have peaked.
The chairmen of the 20 top-flight clubs are to be briefed next week that most 2019-22 overseas deals have been finalised, and a 20 to 30 per cent overall increase in their value is expected. That should make up for a drop in income from domestic rights deals and see the £9 billion figure reached.
The 2016-19 deals totalled £8.8 billion — £5.1 billion from domestic rights, £3.3 billion overseas and £400 million from the Match of the Daycontract with the BBC and mobile rights. The comparable figures for the next three years are £4.6 billion from domestic (Sky, BT Sport and Amazon), a similar figure from the BBC and mobile rights, and £4 billion from overseas deals. There are still some territories yet to finalise a deal, including India.
The auction for the 2022-25 domestic rights will take place in two years’ time and there is a belief that the value will fall again. Digital platforms such as Amazon are expected to take more interest while there is uncertainty over whether BT Sport and Sky will commit as much to football in the future.
It could be that the value of overseas rights overtake domestic rights next time around. The Premier League’s current overseas deals are worth more than those of the German, Spanish, Italian and French leagues combined.
● Sir Gary Verity, the man who brought the Tour de France to Yorkshire, has emerged as the leading candidate to become the next chief executive of the Premier League. The 54-year-old Leeds United fan has a strong track record of working in sport and business.
BBC to screen United tie
Manchester United’s FA Cup fifth-round tie away to the holders Chelsea, a repeat of the 2018 final, will be live on BBC One on Monday, February 18. It is one of two games being broadcast on the BBC that weekend, with League Two club Doncaster Rovers’ home tie with Crystal Palace the day before also live.
Televised fifth-round games: Feb 15: Portsmouth/QPR v Watford (BT Sport, 7.45). Feb 16 Brighton/West Brom v Derby County (BT Sport, 12.30pm); Middlesbrough/Newport v Manchester City (BT Sport, 5.30pm). Feb 17 Bristol City v Shrewsbury/Wolverhampton (BT Sport, 1pm); Doncaster v Crystal Palace (BBC One, 4pm).
Feb 18 Chelsea v Manchester United (BBC One, 7.30pm).